Signals · theoretical, educational setups
Cisco Beats, Bitcoin Breaks $69,000, Nvidia Holds
Four theoretical setups for November 13: Cisco after a record quarter, bitcoin below its 200-day average, gold under yields above 5% and Nvidia after its CEO's exit.
CSCO · Cisco Systems — Bullish, Short-term (days). Cisco closed Thursday at $102.01, up 1.24%, and rose about 3% after hours on a record fiscal first quarter: revenue up 24% to $18.5 billion, adjusted EPS of $1.40 against its own $1.32–1.34 guidance, and a full-year revenue outlook raised to $74.8–75.8 billion. The stock still trades below its 20-day average near $104 and its 50-day near $108 after the November sell-off, so a gap higher has room to run toward those levels before meeting the resistance of earlier buyers. Falling margins are the weak point the bears will lean on. A daily close below $98, under Tuesday's close and the post-results gap, would invalidate the setup.
BTC/USD · Bitcoin — Bearish, Short-term (days). Yesterday's neutral call set $72,000 as the line that would confirm the breakdown, and bitcoin went through it: it fell below $69,000 early on Friday and traded near $68,350, below its 200-day average around $73,070 and far under the 50-day near $80,800. More than $1.4 billion of leveraged positions were liquidated in 24 hours, mostly longs, and spot ETF outflows are about $1.88 billion for November. The 200-week average near $67,990 is the last widely watched support, and a close under it would be the first since 2022. A daily close above $74,000, back over the 200-day average and Wednesday's close, would invalidate the setup.
XAU/USD · Gold — Bearish, Short-term (days). Gold futures fell 2.88% on Thursday to $3,885.30, close to the $3,857 low of the past year, as the 10-year Treasury yield jumped back above 5% and the 2-year rose 15 basis points on bets on a December Fed hike. A metal that pays no interest struggles when real yields climb this fast, and the price sits about $150 below its 20-day average and $300 below its 50-day, both falling. Friday's PPI report is the near-term risk in either direction. A daily close above $4,000, back over the level that broke on Thursday, would invalidate the setup.
NVDA · NVIDIA Corporation — Neutral, Short-term (days). Yesterday's bearish setup played out in the first minutes: after Jensen Huang's resignation, Nvidia touched $148.80, down 14.35%, before buyers took it back to a $166.19 close, down 4.34%. That long lower shadow shows heavy demand at the lows, with retail traders alone buying a net $111 million in the first half-hour, but the stock remains far below its 20-day average near $201 and the November 17 results, the first under interim CEO Colette Kress, are four sessions away. No new position: a daily close above $176 would turn the picture constructive, while one below $148.80 would resume the slide.